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Fiscal Cliff
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Faust
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 7:08 am    Post subject: Fiscal Cliff Reply with quote

Alright financial experts... an idea popped in my head and I wanted to double check if it is sound:

Given the probability of a rise in income taxes in 2013, would it make sense to wait and pay my 2012 property taxes in 2013, so I could then deduct more from my income when I itemize? Thanks


Last edited by Faust on Dec 27, 2012 7:48 am; edited 1 time in total
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Partyb
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 8:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Define "probability" specifically as it relates to your current income tax bracket.
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 8:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If you make less than $250,000 per year, I would guess there's a 10% chance your taxes will increase. If you make more than $250,000 per year, there's a 70% chance your taxes will increase.

This is just my guess based on what I hear. Most of my information comes from Bloomberg News.
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Faust
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 8:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

So there is a 10% chance my income taxes will increase by ~3%.
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goofyboy
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 8:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

actually, the pay roll tax is set to expire and I don't believe that is part of the talks. Your SS tax will most likely go up 3%, unless they extend that rate as well.
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jgriffith
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 9:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

SS tax will go up 2%, but that has nothing to do with itemized deductions.

Faust, your best bet is to use a CPA for tax planning.
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brew
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 9:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Faust, your best bet is to use a CPA for tax planning.


Will not do you any good right now, because we have no idea where this is going to end up either.

As far as whether it will do you any good, a lot of that depends on what tax bracket you're in. If you're in a lower bracket then it will likely help slightly or be neutral because no one knows what is going to happen to the low rates, but most expect some sort of extension. If you're in a high bracket it will probably save you a higher percentage to defer, but that depends a lot on what happens with the alternative minimum tax. I would say you're looking at a max of 5% or so in savings which seems to be too much trouble for what it's worth unless you are talking a significant amount of property tax. You can defer contributions and other itemized deductions as well, but if you're in the higher brackets it will get offset by AMT unless the patch is extended.

I'm deferring all my insurance and taxes on my rental properties until after year end as well as some large capital expenditures, but I'll pay my home taxes just like I normally do to keep it consistent.
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Faust
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 9:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jgriffith wrote:
Faust, your best bet is to use a CPA for tax planning.


IIRC, there are quite a few CPAs that frequent this site.

Thanks brew that's basically what I needed to hear.
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jgriffith
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 9:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am one of those, I guess what I am getting at is most people that work in the profession can't really give you specific planning advice without knowing a lot more details (too many variables to just through out a yes or no answer). People outside of the profession may give you advice that you shouldnt rely on.
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 10:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's not just the overall income tax rate that people need to be concerned with. Payroll tax is set to go up, SS is set to go up, child care credits are set to be fazed out, the standard deduction system changes (for the worse) for those who are married filing jointly, unearned income is set to be taxed as ordinary income, etc. etc. etc. Even for those who bring in under 250k as a household, if nothing is done, it's going to be bad.
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Nor*Cal
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 11:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fiscal cliff is a imaginary political term to create urgency to cut a deal.
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 12:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

um, there is an urgency to cut a deal as far as i am concerned. I would rather not have my tax rate increase for SS, nor for income taxes, while the assholes in congress can't grasp the fact that they spend too much money across the board.
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 1:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I dont think the reduction in SS tax a couple years ago was intended to be permanent. I'm pretty sure that will go back to its normal rate.

I also dont think think most of the people in Washington believe that the problem we have is a spending problem rather than a revenue problem. Taxes are going up people, for everyone.
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 1:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The term I've heard is "Fiscal Cliff" which I understand to be tax increases coupled with reductions in government spending. While my feeble, microeconomic mind thinks this is exactly what we need to reduce national debt and reverse our nation's path toward insolvency, macroeconomics says this will kill the national economy.

The argument, again, as I understand it, by the political parties, is whether to extend the current tax policy (which are referred to as cuts, because their net effect is everyone pays less taxes) to all taxpayers, or only those making less than $250,000. The Republicans want to extend current tax policy for all taxpayers while Democrats want to only extend current tax policy to taxpayers making less than $250,000. The net effect of doing one or the other is negligible to the nation's balance sheet, but it's something for our elected representatives to fight over to make their constituents think they actually make a difference.
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jgriffith
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 1:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ohsix, I think it would add hundreds of billions in revenue. But if you are saying the more they bring in the more they will spend then yes, I agree, it will do nothing to the balance sheet.
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Nor*Cal
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 2:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

goofyboy wrote:
um, there is an urgency to cut a deal as far as i am concerned. I would rather not have my tax rate increase for SS, nor for income taxes, while the assholes in congress can't grasp the fact that they spend too much money across the board.


Please tell me what happens 1 day late, a month late, a quarter late? There's an entire year to manage these impacts before most people see anything, if they see anything happen with their taxes. This is a false deadline and all issues could be managed with another continuing resolution. In reality we have not had a real budget since 1997 so I do not see the fuss.

Sequestration is a big deal and that will have major impacts to jobs and state budgets. I would be more concerned about that than some made up deadline created to give a name to the fight.

The 2% payroll tax holiday in 2012 was temporary when the deal was made. You paid that 2% every year before 2012 and for the sake of the programs reliant on that money you will need to pay it again.

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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 2:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the 2% payroll tax holiday was 2011 and 2012, but yeah before that it was the normal 6.2%

Nor*Cal, you dont think it will matter if they fix it retroactively as opposed to fixing it now? I'm not a payroll guy, but I would assume the employer will be required to withhold more correct?
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 2:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jgriffith, exactly, payroll taxes will likely go up regardless but income tax is in play and can be corrected retroactively.
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jgriffith
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 2:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nor*Cal wrote:
jgriffith, exactly, payroll taxes will likely go up regardless but income tax is in play and can be corrected retroactively.


I'm talking about withholding income taxes from employees pay checks, wont they be required to withhold more?
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Nor*Cal
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 3:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jgriffith, that's up to the employee not the business.
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chavez
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nor*Cal wrote:
jgriffith, that's up to the employee not the business.

Sadly, I would say the vast, overwhelming majority of "employees" have no clue that this is the case.

I was pissed off this year because the feds owed me a grand and the state a few hundo.

I want that stuff to be as close to 0 either way as possible! Laughing

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jgriffith
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 3:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nor*Cal wrote:
jgriffith, that's up to the employee not the business.


Its up to the employee to corectly fill out the w-4, but i thought withholding rates were based on a table from the irs which is based on current tax rates?
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brew
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 6:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Withholding rates are based on how you fill out the W-4. Your status, deductions, and pay are used to calculate how much is withheld.
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PostPosted: Dec 10, 2012 7:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.bnasoftware.com/News/Tax_News/Articles/Taxes_May_Not_Have_to_Rise_Immediately_if_Congress_Fails_to_Extend_Cuts.asp
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PostPosted: Dec 11, 2012 3:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

But, if you don't withhold enough, you can be hit with a penalty. I was close to that one year because we owed $4500. My wife and I both claimed 0 on our W-4.
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Faust
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PostPosted: Dec 27, 2012 7:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

We're going over! Crying or Very sad
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PostPosted: Dec 27, 2012 7:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Absolutely amazing to me the lack of coverage this is getting. The Sandy Hook tragedy has totally trumped it.

Saw some talking heads saying that it has been Barack's desire to go over the cliff the whole time. "Raising taxes and gutting the military are a Dem's wet dream", was what they were saying.

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PostPosted: Dec 27, 2012 8:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The whole thing is pathetic and disgusting. The entire country is getting screwed, and the Reps and Dems are blaming each other the whole way. Nothing anyone can say about it because we all voted them in.
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PostPosted: Dec 27, 2012 9:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Nothing anyone can say about it because we all voted them in.


Their not who I voted for.

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PostPosted: Dec 27, 2012 12:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It sucks for my company and my taxes that we are going over the cliff but in my honest opinion the 1.2 trillion spending cuts is what this country really needs. The answer should not be raise taxes, the answer should be reel in the government spending. So I do find comfort in this fact as we plunge over the fiscal cliff.
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PostPosted: Dec 27, 2012 2:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nmballa, my sentiments exactly.
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PostPosted: Jan 01, 2013 4:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Some news:

CBO Score of the Fiscal Cliff Agreement

The Price Tag: $4 Trillion Added to Deficit

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PostPosted: Jan 02, 2013 8:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bureaucracy 101. They did a great job of maintaining the status quo while giving us the illusion they were solving the problem.
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chavez
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PostPosted: Jan 02, 2013 11:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm just wondering...

If this had not been passed, how many of y'all were ok with the extra $$$ you would be paying? Would you have been pleased with the sequester forcing cuts along with your increased tax bills, or ?

Let's be real here - this likely meant each and every one of us would have had a significantly higher amount sent to the Treasury.


PS: Chris Christie is slamming the House GOP right now...

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PostPosted: Jan 02, 2013 11:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would have been pissed. I've said time and time again that I am taxed enough. There is already so much waste that the raising of taxes just gives them more to play with. The cuts should happen without the raising of taxes.

The military industrial complex is massive and does not need to be. There are federal departments that do not need to exist. etc. etc. etc.

I am even willing to compromise (HA!) and be ok with my taxes going up 1% if realy and meaningful cuts were made across the board. By real cuts, I mean cuts to the current budget. No more increasing of the fed budget. No 10 years down the road we will let the cuts take place. Real cuts now.

About the only good thing they did was fix the AMT issue with it keeping up with inflation. Of course, that is only good for us that are under $400k (or wherever it is now set).

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