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Countdown to FB IPO
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RampageWake
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PostPosted: May 21, 2012 9:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I see nothing wrong with this...



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ontrider
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PostPosted: May 21, 2012 9:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RampageWake, dude... it's Facebook. It doesn't have to make sense.
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eeven73
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 7:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.forbes.com/sites/steveschaefer/2012/05/23/facebook-lawsuits-start-flying-targets-include-zuckerberg-morgan-stanley/

And since they didn't get rich now its time to sue. Mad

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chavez
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 7:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

eeven73, no wai! I have serious doubts that any of those lawsuits will result in a payday for those people. Primarily because the information they cite about FB having issues monetizing mobile was both well known and public prior to trading. IOW: the suits are baseless and a waste of taxpayer dollars. I hope the judges toss them out post haste.

On another note, FB is up 3% today.

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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 7:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think I like the fact that I don't understand a single word in this thread. Blissful in my ignorance.
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 8:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I just saw another article about the lawsuits. I always considered buying and selling stock to be risky, but usually a calculated risk. If nothing unethical or illegal was done during the process, the lawsuits should be thrown out. Win some lose some...not win some, don't let me lose or I'll sue.
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jryoung
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 8:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RampageWake wrote:
I see nothing wrong with this...


I do, first apples to oranges (mfg v. tech). Second Fords assets are incorrect. Third where are the liabilities. Fourth where are the cash and cash equivalents? Fifth, pension liability/UAW?

It's a tough comparison due to the nature of their businesses, but FBs balance sheet is in great position right now and that market cap number will be validated if they can plan and execute the monetization of their data.




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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 9:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jryoung wrote:
if they can plan and execute the monetization of their data.


and herein lies the rub. who cares if you have a billion users, if none of them click your ads? gm just bailed on an $11m deal because no one clicks fb ads.
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 9:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

and ads don't even show up for mobile users, which is their fastest growing segment.

but the ad revenue should be a secondary concern. fb really needs to figure out how they're going to package all the information they have available and sell it. that's how they're going to make real money. you have a billion users who tell you their likes and dislikes. companies will pay for that if you can give it to them in a useful form.
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 9:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree 100%. But's hard to ignore the fact that they have the users...that's over half the battle IMO. No doubt this has been thought about for the last 5 years, if they can turn the corner here the results could be impressive.
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 9:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

facebook has disaster written all over it.
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dirtysparks
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 11:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Okie Boarder wrote:
I just saw another article about the lawsuits. I always considered buying and selling stock to be risky, but usually a calculated risk. If nothing unethical or illegal was done during the process, the lawsuits should be thrown out. Win some lose some...not win some, don't let me lose or I'll sue.


Did you read anything about the lawsuits or just come to the conclusion that they were whiny babies who wanted money? The problem is the bank issuing the IPO dishing out insider information to select clients. It's all that 99%'er stuff, that everyone seems so fed up with. Where would you start with legal issues you had with a company?
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chavez
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 12:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dirtysparks, I was aware of the information they allege to be at issue before the IPO.

I do not work for one of the underwriters, nor do I have any access other than what was out there in public.

The lawsuits are unfounded. If they were to succeed, they would set terrible precedent, and potentially cripple the market for IPOs. If one wants only the "1%" to have any access to successful start ups, this is the way to do it.

Take it FWIW from someone who used to work in investment banking and the IPO world (albeit on a smaller scale).

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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 12:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dirtysparks wrote:
Okie Boarder wrote:
I just saw another article about the lawsuits. I always considered buying and selling stock to be risky, but usually a calculated risk. If nothing unethical or illegal was done during the process, the lawsuits should be thrown out. Win some lose some...not win some, don't let me lose or I'll sue.


Did you read anything about the lawsuits or just come to the conclusion that they were whiny babies who wanted money? The problem is the bank issuing the IPO dishing out insider information to select clients. It's all that 99%'er stuff, that everyone seems so fed up with. Where would you start with legal issues you had with a company?


Yes, but it doesn't seem like they have enough to go off of from what I read. I'm not sure they have enough proof to say that select clients got different information.

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dirtysparks
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 12:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chavez

The information that it was overvalued and probably not a good buy? Sure I get that, but did the investment bank call you up with this information? From what I understand, they changed some numbers around and hand fed it to some very large clients of theirs. I guess I don't have access to the types of data that you do, but isn't it more than a few people suing because their stock went down?[/b]
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dirtysparks
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 12:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I do kind of find it funny that the suing shareholders

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alleging the IPO documents contained false statements and omitted important facts.


What important fact would have changed the premise that this IPO was a terrible buy? Laughing
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chavez
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 12:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dirtysparks, IF that did happen, it's on the broker, not the issue (FB). That would be straight up falsifying information and fraud. If that is the case it would and should be criminal, not civil (although civil suits would come in to play). Furthermore, even if there was such an allegation, FINRA arbitration rules apply first, and the client already agreed to them (pre-dispute arbitration agreement). Therefore, the cart is way before the horse and the case would get tossed by default (kicked back to FINRA complaint level then likely arbitration).

You can't just sue a broker cuz you're pissed the stock went down. There is a process in place that every person who has a brokerage account at every broker-dealer in the land has agreed to when they opened the account.

Also FWIW, the only regulatory bodies who can determine and bring criminal charges would be the SEC and state securities divisions and I ain't heard a peep outta them on the matter other than investigating what happened with the trading glitches.

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dirtysparks
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 1:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
, IF that did happen, it's on the broker, not the issue (FB). That would be straight up falsifying information and fraud.


I didn't think anyone was suing FB, I though it was the IB - but I guess they looped FB in there too. Laughing

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You can't just sue a broker cuz you're pissed the stock went down.

Well of course. I didn't think that was the basis of the case. I mean it's class action so obviously it's got lawyers coming out on top. I thought was in regards to insider information.
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jt09
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 1:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

chavez, http://www.shaggybevo.com/board/showthread.php?t=111256 pay attention to froghorn717 and sushihorn's posts in this thread. they certainly think morgan stearn is in for some punishment, and they are pretty savvy guys irt the markets.
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chavez
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 2:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jt09, read thru it. Maybe I read their amended filings differently, but it seemed pretty clear from my seat that the announcement that mobile was in the driver's seat and they weren't making ad money on mobile as a highly negative announcement... well then I will send this guy over with a tack hammer to enlighten them



Seriously though, if the analyst info was only being made available to select investors, there is a big problem at MS and others. If FB was specifically tipping off select investors, then FB is in deep chit.

Either way, lawsuits are premature at this time. FINRA/SEC need to sort through it to see what, if any wrongdoing occurred. If they find violations, they can order restitution. If the restitution is deemed insufficient, then maybe a lawsuit might proceed on that basis. In any event, the cart is in front of the horse. I would expect no less from the class-action sharks, though.

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jryoung
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PostPosted: May 23, 2012 2:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

People do stupid stuff all the time, especially when motivated by money or getting on Youtube. However, you'd have to think that with the most highly anticipated IPO since Google, and the negative light on the banking industry at the moment that people wouldn't be THAT stupid.

Hard to say though, we only get the details as reported, not all the facts.

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PostPosted: May 24, 2012 4:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

yay for congressional investigations! this is getting ridiculous.
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jjaszkow
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PostPosted: May 24, 2012 8:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

All of the lawsuit discussion and discussion surrounding trade execution delays got me thinking a bit. What ever happened to researching an investment, buying on fundamentals and long term potential, and then holding it until it at least can qualify for long term capital gains? As near as I can tell, a vast majority of the complaining seems to be coming from retail investors, who would seem to benefit from not worrying about what a stock does in the first few days.

That said ... I've read about a few strange things surrounding the IPO road show and trading delays on the first day that should certainly receive some investigative attention.
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PostPosted: May 24, 2012 9:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jjaszkow wrote:
What ever happened to researching an investment, buying on fundamentals and long term potential, and then holding it until it at least can qualify for long term capital gains?


but my etrade app updates every 15 seconds!
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chavez
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PostPosted: May 25, 2012 2:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://allthingsd.com/20120525/suing-facebook-best-of-luck/
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PostPosted: May 26, 2012 5:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

STPHNSN23 wrote:
and ads don't even show up for mobile users, which is their fastest growing segment.

but the ad revenue should be a secondary concern. fb really needs to figure out how they're going to package all the information they have available and sell it. that's how they're going to make real money. you have a billion users who tell you their likes and dislikes. companies will pay for that if you can give it to them in a useful form.


And there's the rub. FB is sitting on a gold mine of data that any marketer would pay top dollar to use, but the privacy issues are mount everest sized. I'm a skeptic.
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RampageWake
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PostPosted: May 29, 2012 11:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Volume on Facebook options soared on their first trading day on Tuesday as the underlying stock plunged below $29 a share for the first time, down more than 23 percent from its initial public offering price of $38.


Still time to get in!

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PostPosted: May 30, 2012 12:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

On a positive note fb helped my son get to the top of his HS class in a stock game they were playing on line. He was in nearly last place on the last day so he sold everything and went short on fb, worked like a charm!, giving him the highest earnings in the class.
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PostPosted: May 30, 2012 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

$28.19 -0.65‎ (-2.25%‎)


Still time to get in!!!!
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PostPosted: May 31, 2012 7:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

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PostPosted: May 31, 2012 9:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

^logged in, just to post "lulz" at that Laughing

Good show ol'man!

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PostPosted: Jun 04, 2012 8:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Doesn't appear to be a bottom in sight.

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-0.91 (-3.28%)

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PostPosted: Jun 04, 2012 9:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm sure all the employees are thrilled right now since they're locked out and watching their RSU value dwindle.

Actually, I talked to my buddy this weekend who works there and he has an attitude similar to mine (in relation to company stock) in that it's is "house money". We've never "valued" it or counted on it to pay for something as they rest of our comp packages are fair market.

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PostPosted: Jun 22, 2012 12:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

wow - just noticed in last week's austin business journal that an austin lawyer was denied access to the pre-ipo and has filed w/ the courts for access. i know the guy - his kid played for me when i coached lacrosse. i'll post the article when i get home (fb is blocked at work, and that includes articles w/ fb in the title).
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PostPosted: Jul 26, 2012 4:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

LET THE SLAUGHTER BEGIN!!!!!!
Any predictions on what this hunk of stuff might settle at? I'm thinking around 18.
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